Metaculus Employment Forecasting Tool
A forecasting tool for the Metaculus Labor Automation Forecasting Hub tournament — enter percentage employment changes to project occupational employment levels and workforce share shifts.
May 2024 OEWS · cached 4/6/2026
Important notice: This tool is intended as a forecasting aid only and has not been thoroughly vetted for data accuracy. Use at your own risk. The base year for all percentage change calculations is 2024 (the latest available OEWS release); however, the Metaculus forecasting questions reference the 2025 OEWS data, which has not yet been published. Results should be interpreted accordingly. If you spot any errors, please email ryan@metaculus.com.
All percentage change inputs project from the 2024 OEWS base year to this forecast year. Enter 0 for no change.
Occupation
Click ? for definitions
2024 EmploymentBase Employment SharePercentage Change in Employment
✎ input for all rows
Percentage Change in Share
≡ calculated
2035 Employment2035 Employment Share
Total Employment00-0000154,187,380.0100.00%
%
0.00%154,187,380.0100.00%
Building Cleaning Workers37-20103,071,180.01.99%
%
+0.0%3,071,180.01.99%
Construction Trades Workers47-20004,691,890.03.04%
%
+0.0%4,691,890.03.04%
Designers27-1020588,160.00.38%
%
+0.0%588,160.00.38%
Engineers17-20001,746,750.01.13%
%
+0.0%1,746,750.01.13%
Financial Specialists13-20003,033,120.01.97%
%
+0.0%3,033,120.01.97%
Food and Beverage Serving Workers35-30007,101,010.04.61%
%
+0.0%7,101,010.04.61%
General and Operations Managers11-10213,584,420.02.32%
%
+0.0%3,584,420.02.32%
Laborers and Material Movers53-70606,784,150.04.40%
%
+0.0%6,784,150.04.40%
Law Enforcement Workers33-30001,177,270.00.76%
%
+0.0%1,177,270.00.76%
Lawyers and Judicial Law Clerks23-1010760,970.00.49%
%
+0.0%760,970.00.49%
Physicians29-1210727,050.00.47%
%
+0.0%727,050.00.47%
Preschool, Elementary, Middle, Secondary, and Special Ed. Teachers25-20004,321,590.02.80%
%
+0.0%4,321,590.02.80%
Registered Nurses29-11413,282,010.02.13%
%
+0.0%3,282,010.02.13%
Sales Representatives, Services41-30002,287,740.01.48%
%
+0.0%2,287,740.01.48%
Software and Web Developers, Programmers, and Testers15-12502,154,370.01.40%
%
+0.0%2,154,370.01.40%
Sum of Named Occupationssum45,311,680.029.39%+0.0%+0.0%45,311,680.029.39%
All Other Occupationsimplied108,875,700.070.61%+0.0%+0.0%108,875,700.070.61%